It’s an Evolution, Not a Revolution


  • When it comes to technology, there is a differentiation between software and semiconductors 
  • We are coming off a trough in semiconductors and particularly in memory and server markets—areas that we believe were under earning 
  • This area is being turbocharged by the demand coming from AI because AI is almost 5 to 7 times more memory intensive 
  • This has resulted in a massive consolidation in almost every part of the semiconductor ecosystem 

Data for the period 01/2020 through 01/2024. Spot pricing for DRAM chips. For the period prior to the release of 16Gb pricing (Spot: May 22 / Contract: Sep 21),  used DDR4 8Gb-converted ASP . 

Data for the period 01/2020 through 01/2024. Spot pricing for NAND chips. Based on inSpectrum’s NAND Flash 512Gb Index. 

not all valuations are created equally

  • Despite the fact that NVDA has gone up substantially in recent times, it’s actually cheaper today than it was 3 years ago.
  • That holds true for a whole host of names where the earnings growth and revisions have been positive
  • Compare and contrast, for instance, with Walmart where the growth rates are by order of magnitude different for almost similar valuations, in our opinion
  • The story is still unfolding, but it is being driven by the quality and quantity of earnings growth


  • Largely driven by underperformance, positive change across emerging markets has been largely underappreciated in our view  
  • While GDP growth across EM has grown substantially over nearly 15 years, as a percentage of overall world GDP, EM as a percentage of the MSCI ACWI has fallen 
  • Contrary to what the consensus may believe,  our view is that EM Index weightings are not representative of their overall market capitalization and economic impact 
  • Instead of a rules based approach that underrepresents EM, a GDP or more economic related one would see EM’s share of world indexes grow, in our opinion 

Source: IMF, Bloomberg. For the periods ending December 2009 and October 2023. You cannot invest directly in an Index. 

More Information

Reach out to find out why we remain upbeat and optimistic about the road ahead. 

The information provided on this web page does not constitute investment advice and no investment decision should be made based on it. Neither the information contained in this document or in any accompanying oral presentation is a recommendation to follow any strategy or allocation. In addition, neither is a recommendation, offer or solicitation to sell or buy any security or  purchase  shares in any fund or establish any separately managed account.  It should not be assumed that any investments made by GQG Partners LLC (GQG) in the future will be profitable or will equal the performance of any securities discussed herein. Before making any investment decision, you should seek expert, professional advice, including tax advice, and obtain information regarding the legal, fiscal, regulatory and foreign currency requirements for any investment according to the law of your home country, place of residence or current abode. 

This content reflects the views of GQG as of a particular time. GQG’s views may change without notice. Any forward-looking statements or forecasts are based on assumptions and actual results may vary. 

GQG provides this information for informational purposes only. GQG has gathered the information in good faith from sources it believes to be reliable, including its own resources and third parties. However, GQG does not represent or warrant that any information, including, without limitation, any past performance results and any third-party information provided, is accurate, reliable or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. GQG has not independently verified any information used or presented that is derived from third parties, which is subject to change. Information on holdings, allocations, and other characteristics is for illustrative purposes only and may not be representative of current or future investments or allocations. 

The information contained in this web page is unaudited. It is published for the assistance of recipients, but is not to be relied upon as authoritative and is not to be substituted for the exercise of one’s own judgment. GQG is not required to update the information contained in these materials, unless otherwise required by applicable law. 

The contents of this document are confidential and intended solely for the recipient. No portion of this document and/or its attachments may be reproduced, quoted or distributed without the prior written consent of GQG.  

GQG is registered as an investment adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Please see GQG’s Form ADV Part 2, which is available upon request, for more information about GQG. 

Any account or fund advised by GQG involves significant risks and is appropriate only for those persons who can bear the economic risk of the complete loss of their investment. There is no assurance that any account or fund will achieve its investment objectives. Accounts and funds are subject to price volatility and the value of a portfolio will change as the prices of investments go up or down. Before investing in a strategy, you should consider the risks of the strategy as well as whether the strategy is appropriate based upon your investment objectives and risk tolerance. 

There may be additional risks associated with international and emerging markets investing involving foreign, economic, political, monetary, and/or legal factors.  

International investing is not for everyone. You can lose money by investing in securities.     

Past performance may not be indicative of future results. Performance may vary substantially from year to year or even from month to month. The value of investments can go down as well as up. Future performance may be lower or higher than the performance presented, and may include the possibility of loss of principal. It should not be assumed that recommendations made in the future will GQG Partners LLC is a wholly owned subsidiary of GQG Partners Inc., a Delaware corporation that is listed on the Australian Securities Exchange. 


MSCI benchmark returns have been obtained from MSCI, a non-affiliated third-party source. Neither MSCI nor any other party involved in or related to compiling, computing or creating the MSCI data makes any express or implied warranties or representations with respect to such data (or the results to be obtained by the use thereof), and all such parties hereby expressly disclaim all warranties of originality, accuracy, completeness, merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose with respect to any of such data. Without limiting the foregoing, in no event shall MSCI, any of its affiliates or any third party involved in or related to compiling, computing, or creating the data have any liability for any direct, indirect, special, punitive, consequential or any other damages (including lost profits) even if notified of the possibility of such damages. 

Net total return indices reinvest dividends after the deduction of withholding taxes, using (for international indices) a tax rate applicable to nonresident institutional investors who do not benefit from double taxation treaties. 

You cannot invest directly in indices, which do not take into account trading commissions and costs.  

The MSCI Emerging Markets Index captures large and mid cap representation across 24 Emerging Markets (EM) countries. With 1,376 constituents, the index covers approximately 85% of the free float-adjusted market capitalization in each country. EM countries include: Brazil, Chile, China, Colombia, Czech Republic, Egypt, Greece, Hungary, India, Indonesia, Korea, Kuwait, Malaysia, Mexico, Peru, Philippines, Poland, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Taiwan, Thailand, Turkey and United Arab Emirates. 

The MSCI USA Index is designed to measure the performance of the large and mid cap segments of the US market. With 609 constituents, the index covers approximately 85% of the free float-adjusted market capitalization in the free float-adjusted market capitalization in the US. 

The MSCI Europe Index captures large and mid cap representation across 15 Developed Markets (DM) countries in Europe*. With 428 constituents, the index covers approximately 85% of the free float-adjusted market capitalization across the European Developed Markets equity universe. 


The information in this document is issued and approved by GQG Partners LLC (“GQG”), a limited liability company and authorised representative of GQG Partners (Australia) Pty Ltd, ACN 626 132 572, AFSL number 515673. This information and our services may be provided to wholesale and retail clients (as defined in section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth)) domiciled in Australia. This document contains general information only, does not contain any personal advice and does not take into account any prospective investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. In New Zealand, any offer of a Fund is limited to ‘wholesale investors’ within the meaning of clause 3(2) of Schedule 1 of the Financial Markets Conduct Act 2013. This information is not intended to be distributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other class of persons in Australia and New Zealand, or to persons outside of Australia and New Zealand. 


This document has been prepared solely for information purposes and is not an offering memorandum nor any other kind of an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, instrument or investment product or to participate in any particular trading strategy.  It is not intended and should not be taken as any form of advertising, recommendation or investment advice.  This information is confidential and for the use of the intended recipients only. The distribution of this document in Canada is restricted to recipients in certain Canadian jurisdictions who are eligible “permitted clients” for purposes of National Instrument 31-103 Registration Requirements, Exemptions and Ongoing Registrant Obligations. 


Investors should take cognisance of the fact that there are risks involved in buying or selling any financial product. Past performance of a financial product is not necessarily indicative of future performance. The value of financial products can increase as well as decrease over time, depending on the value of the underlying securities and market conditions. The investment value of a financial product is not guaranteed and any Illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are not guaranteed, these are provided for illustrative purposes only. This document does not constitute a solicitation, invitation or investment recommendation. Prior to selecting a financial product or fund it is recommended that South Africa based investors seek specialised financial, legal and tax advice. GQG PARTNERS LLC is a licenced financial services provider with the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) of the Republic of South Africa, with FSP number 48881. 


GQG Partners LLC is not an authorised person for the purposes of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 of the United Kingdom (“FSMA”) and the distribution of this document in the United Kingdom is restricted by law. Accordingly, this document is provided only for and is directed only at persons in the United Kingdom reasonably believed to be of a kind to whom such promotions may be communicated by a person who is not an authorised person under FSMA pursuant to the FSMA (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (the “FPO”). Such persons include: (a) persons having professional experience in matters relating to investments; and (b) high net worth bodies corporate, partnerships, unincorporated associations, trusts, etc. falling within Article 49 of the FPO. The services provided by GQG Partners LLC and the investment opportunities described in this document are available only to such persons, and persons of any other description may not rely on the information in it. All, or most, of the rules made under the FSMA for the protection of retail clients will not apply, and compensation under the United Kingdom Financial Services Compensation Scheme will not be available. 

GQG Partners LLC (UK) Ltd. is a company registered in England and Wales, registered number 1175684. GQG Partners LLC (UK) Ltd. is an appointed representative of Sapia Partners LLP, which is a firm authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (“FCA”) (550103).  

© 2024 GQG Partners LLC. All rights reserved. Data presented as at 31 March 2024 and denominated in US dollars (US$) unless otherwise indicated.